Services & capabilities

From raw data to auditable models and decision tools.

We combine data science, data engineering and quantitative risk modelling to help lenders, insurers and finance teams turn data into decisions. Every engagement is designed to be technically sound, transparent and practical for business.

Credit risk analytics

Data Science

We use statistical and machine learning techniques to uncover patterns in your data and turn them into concrete actions your teams can understand and use.

Patterns & behaviour

Mining data for patterns

Find customer, portfolio and operational patterns that are invisible in standard reports and spreadsheets.

  • Segmentation and clustering
  • Behavioural analysis of accounts and clients
  • Identifying drivers of profit and loss
Statistical models

Statistical modelling

Build robust models to explain relationships in your data and answer "why" questions, not just "what happened".

  • Regression and classification models
  • Survival / duration and hazard models
  • Hypothesis testing and inference
Machine learning

Predictive models

Forecast outcomes such as default, churn, conversion or claims using machine learning frameworks in Python and R.

  • Predictive risk and behaviour models
  • Uplift and response modelling
  • Model performance tracking and recalibration
Monitoring

Monitor business processes

Set up monitoring of key business processes so you see abnormal trends before they become serious problems.

  • Process KPIs and early warning indicators
  • Alerts for unusual patterns or drift
  • Regular review of stability and performance
Data quality

Clean outliers and anomalies

Identify and treat outliers or corrupted records so decisions are based on reliable, well-understood data.

  • Outlier detection and treatment strategies
  • Missing data handling
  • Robust documentation of data cleaning rules

Data Engineering

We design the data pipelines and structures you need so analysis, modelling and reporting can run reliably and at scale.

Architecture

Scalable data architecture

Design data schemas and storage that grow with your business and support advanced analytics.

  • Logical and physical data models
  • Data warehouse and data mart design
  • Schema design for analytics and reporting
Acquisition

Streamlined data acquisition

Automate data collection from internal systems, files and external sources with clear, repeatable processes.

  • File and API based ingestion
  • Scheduling and orchestration
  • Source system mapping and documentation
Integration

Data integration & quality

Bring multiple data sources into one consistent view and repair corrupted or inconsistent data.

  • ETL / ELT pipelines
  • Master and reference data alignment
  • Data quality rules and remediation
Cloud

Cloud-ready solutions

Design and implement solutions that are ready for modern cloud environments and infrastructure.

  • Cloud storage and compute patterns
  • Environment and access considerations
  • Deployment patterns for analytics workloads

Quantitative Risk Management

We build quantitative models and frameworks for credit, market, operational and enterprise risk – from design and implementation to validation and reporting.

3.1 Credit Risk

We help you build and maintain IFRS 9 and risk management models that are explainable, documented and fit for purpose.

Models & frameworks

  • Credit risk models for different product types and portfolio sizes
  • Probability of Default (PD) models:
    • Point-in-Time (PIT) PD
    • Through-the-Cycle (TTC) PD
    • 12-month PD and lifetime PD
  • Scorecard development:
    • Application scorecards
    • Behavioural scorecards
    • Collections scoring
  • Stressed and unstressed PD and stress testing frameworks
  • LGD and EAD models, including downturn LGD and EAD
  • Implementation in Python, R and Excel with clear documentation and handover

Analytics & insight

  • Credit risk analysis across products, segments and vintages
  • Vintage analysis and loss curves
  • Loss forecasting and backtesting
  • ROU rate and related analyses where required

How credit scores drive decisions across the lifecycle

This example shows how application scores and behavioural scores can work together: from accepting or rejecting a new customer, through collections, to marketing and possible write-off or sale of debt.

Credit score decision flow

3.2 Market risk

Quantitative models and measures to understand and manage market risk exposures.

  • Market risk models:
    • Value-at-Risk (VaR)
    • Conditional VaR / Expected Shortfall (CVaR)
  • Foreign exchange risk measurement
  • Interest rate risk measurement

3.3 Operational risk

Quantitative and semi-quantitative approaches to operational risk where data and judgement need to be combined.

  • Scenario-based and loss-data based analysis
  • Support for key risk indicators (KRIs)
  • Linking incidents to financial impact and controls

3.4 Portfolio & enterprise risk

Help you understand portfolio risk/return trade-offs and connect risk metrics to decisions at enterprise level.

  • Portfolio risk management and optimisation
  • Enterprise risk management (ERM) frameworks
  • Risk appetite metrics and reporting support

Data Analysis & Reporting

We turn raw data into narratives and visuals that management, boards and regulators can understand and act on.

What & why

Descriptive & diagnostic analysis

Clear summaries of what is happening, and why, in your data.

  • Descriptive statistics and summaries
  • Root cause and driver analysis
  • Trend and variance explanations
Business intelligence

Business intelligence & dashboarding

BI layers and dashboards that non-technical stakeholders can use without a data science background.

  • Dashboard design and build (e.g. Power BI)
  • Metric definitions and documentation
  • User-friendly layouts and interactions
Reporting

Reporting packs

Monthly and quarterly packs for management, boards and regulators, with the right level of detail and explanation.

  • Standardised reporting templates
  • Automated production where feasible
  • Commentary and data story support

Accounting & Regulatory Services

We support technical accounting and regulatory projects where strong quantitative modelling, data and validation are required.

IFRS 9

IFRS 9 support

IFRS 9 frameworks that are technically sound and auditable.

  • ECL frameworks (PD, LGD, EAD)
  • Model implementation and validation
  • Documentation and audit support

Staging & ECL Logic

📅 Reporting Date
Defaulted?
Yes
Stage 3
Lifetime ECL
No
Assess SICR
SICR?
Yes
Stage 2
Lifetime ECL
No
Stage 1
12-month ECL
SICR = Significant Increase in Credit Risk
IFRS 17

IFRS 17 support

Support for actuarial and finance teams on the data and modelling side of IFRS 17.

  • Data preparation and checks
  • Model and control support
  • Bridging outputs into reporting packs

Financial Modelling

We build financial models that explain value, risk and performance in a way stakeholders can understand and use.

Valuation & evaluation

Actuarial & equity evaluations

Support for product, portfolio and business evaluations using sound quantitative methods.

  • Actuarial-style evaluations
  • Equity and business valuation models
  • Sensitivity and scenario testing
Planning

Budgeting & forecasting

Scenario-based budgeting and forecasting tools that can be updated without rebuilding from scratch.

  • Income statement and balance sheet forecasting
  • Scenario and stress testing
  • Linkage to operational drivers
Cash & performance

Cashflow & financial analysis

Analyse timing and size of cashflows and link them to financial performance.

  • Cashflow timing and liquidity analysis
  • Balance sheet and income statement analysis
  • Investment and project evaluation

Add-ons & ongoing support

Once your tools are in place, we can help keep them updated and aligned with your business reality.

Monthly

Monthly analytics update pack

We refresh your dashboards and models with new data and provide a short commentary on what changed.

Quarterly

Quarterly strategy review

Review key metrics, risk indicators and model outputs to support strategic decisions.

Training & cleanup

Dashboard clean-up & training

Fix or redesign legacy dashboards and train your team to use the models and tools correctly.

Not sure where to start?
Many clients begin with a focused project (for example, an IFRS 9 model or a risk dashboard) and then add a light support package. Tell us what decision you're trying to make, and we'll suggest a starting point.

Talk to us about a project